Race-by-race preview and tips for Tuesday meeting at Kembla Grange


Race 3 – 2.45pm CLASS 1 HCP (1200m)

Tough and wide race with plenty of chances. Got a stack of time for progressive home track three-year-old 8. Espirito who can make it two straight at just his fourth start. Sailed away from the front to destroy maiden opposition here only 10 days ago, and boasts good tactical speed in any ground being by Bel Esprit.

Dangers: Despite rising sharply in weight, 1. King Kapa can improve sharply second-up; while 3. Mission Value is also over the odds third-up after a strong provincial win in heavy ground three weeks back. Consistent four-year-old 5. Sabino defied a betting drift to win his maiden two runs ago before being run down in a handy country BM 64; and well-bred three-year-old 7. Daichi also has enough scope for improvement second-up, with a leading metro hoop back on board.

How to play it: Espirito to win
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 4 – 3.20pm BENCHMARK 68 HCP (1600m)

Real tactical battle over the mile in these conditions will suit tough metro mare 5. Sprout Wings who shapes well over the odds back in distance off a 10-week freshen-up. Was right in the money through last prep, including a dominant provincial BM 64 win, and has been kept up to the mark with a recent soft track trial.

Dangers: Consistent local six-year-old 3. Josephus is right in the mix having scraped home to win a similar contest here 17 days ago. Progressive filly 4. Chilko Lake has taken a real liking to the wet tracks this prep, finishing best to claim her maiden at Warwick Farm, and looks well in at the weights after the claim. Included in exotics home track nine-year-old 8. Tenorino who draws OK and prefers it wet.

How to play it: Sprout Wings each way
Odds and Evens: Odds

Race 5 – 3.20pm FILLIES & MARES MAIDEN HCP (1400m)

Lightly raced Rubick four-year-old 9. Iliana can pounce second-up at good odds. Worked home OK in a handy provincial maiden when soft in betting, and is bred to thrive in heavy going.

Dangers: Improving filly 8. Poetic Drama has been right behind the placegetters in her last three, and the form out of those races reads well for this. Metro three-year-old 1. Pioneer Lass can improve further after two handy closing runs in country maidens, although up sharply in weight; while including both So You Think filly 2. Denarau on debut after plenty of work at the trials; and home tracker 5. Poseidon Jewel third-up; in exotics.

How to play it: Iliana each way and trifecta 1,8,9/1,2,5,8,9/1,2,5,8,9
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 6 – 4.35pm COLTS, GELDINGS & ENTIRES BENCHMARK 64 HCP (1400m)

The boys bring us home, and progressive metro three-year-old 4. Strombus is suitably placed to win third-up. Rushed home from the back in a similar grade at Newcastle, and even better advantaged back on a wet track. Should get the right pattern settling off the speed and surging home late.

Dangers: Talented three-year-old 3. Never Cry also made up plenty of late ground in that provincial race 12 days ago, and is right at home on rain-affected ground. Keep safe 5. Patton who hit the line in similar conditions here first-up; while 1. Camaguey is best of the rest second-up, with blinkers removed.

How to play it: Strombus to win
Odds and Evens: Split



Tips supplied by Racing NSW.
Full form and race replays available at racingnsw.com.au.

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