Madden Super Bowl Predictions Over The Years: How Often Does EA Get It Right?

Super Bowl LVII takes place this coming Sunday, February 12, featuring the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles duking it out for the title.

EA Sports historically simulates the Big Game and releases the results of the match-up, with this year’s simulation picking the Eagles to beat the Chiefs 31-17.

The simulation predicted that Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes will complete 29 of 39 passes for 249 yards and one touchdown in the loss. Wide receiver A.J. Brown of the Eagles will catch eight passes for 114 yards and one touchdown, according to the simulation. Chris Jones of the Chiefs will have a performance in the game, picking up four tackles and two sacks, according to the simulation, which added that Eagles safety C.J. Gardner-Johnson will have five tackles and one interception.

EA’s predictions in the past have been eerily accurate, like in 2015 when the simulation predicted the Patriots’ comeback victory against the Seattle Seahawks–and the final score–along with the exact type of pass play that made it happen. It was spooky. But EA isn’t always that accurate with its predictions. Sometimes, the simulation gets it very, very wrong.

With the Big Game dominating the sporting world this week, we’re looking back at the past 10 years of EA Sports Madden Super Bowl simulations and predictions. As you’ll see, EA’s track record for predicting the winner has been a mix.

EA got off to a hot start by accurately predicting the Super Bowl winners four straight years, from Super Bowl 38 to Super Bowl 41. Since then, however, the simulation never got it right more than two years in a row, but it also never got it wrong for more than two straight years.

What does it all mean? Looking at the past decade-plus, EA has accurately predicted the Super Bowl winner 50% of the time, which is impressive.

Off the field, companies are spending as much as $7 million for 30-second advertisements on Fox, which carries the game this year. This will include a new TV spot for Popcorners featuring Walter White and Jesse Pinkman.

Here is a rundown of EA’s Madden Super Bowl simulations over the past years, looking at what was predicted and then what actually happened in real life. Super Bowl 57 takes place Sunday, February 12, starting at 6:30 PM ET on Fox.

Madden Super Bowl Predictions Over The Years

Super Bowl EA Prediction Actual Result Right Or Wrong?

Super Bowl 56

Super Bowl 55

Super Bowl 54

LA 21, CIN 24

KC 37, TB 27

KC 35, SF 31

LA 23, CIN 20

KC 9, TB 31

KC 31, SF 20




Super Bowl 53 LA 30, NE 27 NE 13, LA 3 Wrong!
Super Bowl 52 NE 24, PHI 20 PHI 41, NE 33 Wrong!
Super Bowl 51 NE 27, ATL 24 NE 34, ATL 28 Right!
Super Bowl 50 CAR 24, DEN 20 DEN 24, CAR 10 Wrong!
Super Bowl 49 NE 28, SEA 24 NE 28, SEA 24 Spooky Good!
Super Bowl 48 DEN 31, SEA 28 SEA 43, DEN 8 Wrong!
Super Bowl 47 BAL 27, SF 24 BAL 34, SF 31 Right!
Super Bowl 46 NYG 27, NE 24 NYG 21, NE 17 Right!

The products discussed here were independently chosen by our editors.
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